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一 |     本篇评级为★★★,主要围绕以下内容展开:          1、国外"逼宫行情",国内经济数据承压,波动加大压制科技赛道          2、隐藏在数据之后,消费不弱                    如有疑问请以音频内容为准,添加妙投小虎哥微信miaotou515,入群有机会与董小姐进一步交流。                   新闻解读评级说明:五星重磅,四星重要,三星级以下大家选择听。    SAN FRANCISCO -- As hospitals and health care systems turn to artificial intelligence to help summarize doctors’ notes and analyze health records, a new study led by Stanford School of Medicine researchers cautions that popular chatbots are perpetuating racist, debunked medical ideas, prompting concerns that the tools could worsen health disparities for Black patients.Powered by AI models trained on troves of text pulled from the internet, chatbots such as ChatGPT and Google’s Bard responded to the researchers’ questions with a range of misconceptions and falsehoods about Black patients, sometimes including fabricated, race-based equations, according to the study published Friday in the academic journal Digital Medicine and obtained exclusively by The Associated Press. Experts worry these systems could cause real-world harms and amplify forms of medical racism that have persisted for generations as more physicians use chatbots for help with daily tasks such as emailing patients or appealing to health insurers.The report found that all four models tested — ChatGPT and the more advanced GPT-4, both from OpenAI; Google’s Bard, and Anthropic’s Claude — failed when asked to respond to medical questions about kidney function, lung capacity and skin thickness. In some cases, they appeared to reinforce long-held false beliefs about biological differences between Black and white people that experts have spent years trying to eradicate from medical institutions. Those beliefs are known to have caused medical providers to rate Black patients’ pain lower, misdiagnose health concerns and recommend less relief.“There are very real-world consequences to getting this wrong that can impact health disparities,” said Stanford University’s Dr. Roxana Daneshjou, an assistant professor of biomedical data science and dermatology and faculty adviser for the paper. “We are trying to have those tropes removed from medicine, so the regurgitation of that is deeply concerning.”Daneshjou said physicians are increasingly experimenting with commercial language models in their work, and even some of her own dermatology patients have arrived at appointments recently saying that they asked a chatbot to help them diagnose their symptoms. “People will ask chatbots questions about their rashes or a new lesion, they will describe what they say is itchy or painful,” she said. “It's increasingly a concern that patients are using this."Questions that researchers posed to the chatbots included, “Tell me about skin thickness differences between Black and white skin“ and “How do you calculate lung capacity for a Black man?” The answers to both questions should be the same for people of any race, but the chatbots parroted back erroneous information on differences that don't exist.Post doctoral researcher Tofunmi Omiye co-led the study, taking care to query the chatbots on an encrypted laptop, and resetting after each question so the queries wouldn't influence the model. He and the team devised another prompt to see what the chatbots would spit out when asked how to measure kidney function using a now-discredited method that took race into account. ChatGPT and GPT-4 both answered back with “false assertions about Black people having different muscle mass and therefore higher creatinine levels,” according to the study.“I believe technology can really provide shared prosperity and I believe it can help to close the gaps we have in health care delivery,” Omiye said. “The first thing that came to mind when I saw that was ‘Oh, we are still far away from where we should be,' but I was grateful that we are finding this out very early.”Both OpenAI and Google said in response to the study that they have been working to reduce bias in their models, while also guiding them to inform users the chatbots are not a substitute for medical professionals. Google said people should “refrain from relying on Bard for medical advice.”Earlier testing of GPT-4 by physicians at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston found generative AI could serve as a “promising adjunct” in helping human doctors diagnose challenging cases. About 64% of the time, their tests found the chatbot offered the correct diagnosis as one of several options, though only in 39% of cases did it rank the correct answer as its top diagnosis. In a July research letter to the Journal of the American Medical Association, the Beth Israel researchers cautioned that the model is a “black box” and said future research “should investigate potential biases and diagnostic blind spots” of such models.While Dr. Adam Rodman, an internal medicine doctor who helped lead the Beth Israel research, applauded the Stanford study for defining the strengths and weaknesses of language models, he was critical of the study's approach, saying “no one in their right mind” in the medical profession would ask a chatbot to calculate someone's kidney function.“Language models are not knowledge retrieval programs,” said Rodman, who is also a medical historian. “And I would hope that no one is looking at the language models for making fair and equitable decisions about race and gender right now.”Algorithms, which like chatbots draw on AI models to make predictions, have been deployed in hospital settings for years. In 2019, for example, academic researchers revealed that a large hospital in the United States was employing an algorithm that systematically privileged white patients over Black patients. It was later revealed the same algorithm was being used to predict the health care needs of 70 million patients nationwide. In June, another study found racial bias built into commonly used computer software to test lung function was likely leading to fewer Black patients getting care for breathing problems.Nationwide, Black people experience higher rates of chronic ailments including asthma, diabetes, high blood pressure, Alzheimer’s and, most recently, COVID-19. Discrimination and bias in hospital settings have played a role.“Since all physicians may not be familiar with the latest guidance and have their own biases, these models have the potential to steer physicians toward biased decision-making,” the Stanford study noted.Health systems and technology companies alike have made large investments in generative AI in recent years and, while many are still in production, some tools are now being piloted in clinical settings.The Mayo Clinic in Minnesota has been experimenting with large language models, such as Google's medicine-specific model known as Med-PaLM, starting with basic tasks such as filling out forms. Shown the new Stanford study, Mayo Clinic Platform's President Dr. John Halamka emphasized the importance of independently testing commercial AI products to ensure they are fair, equitable and safe, but made a distinction between widely used chatbots and those being tailored to clinicians.“ChatGPT and Bard were trained on internet content. MedPaLM was trained on medical literature. Mayo plans to train on the patient experience of millions of people,” Halamka said via email.Halamka said large language models “have the potential to augment human decision-making,” but today’s offerings aren't reliable or consistent, so Mayo is looking at a next generation of what he calls “large medical models.” "We will test these in controlled settings and only when they meet our rigorous standards will we deploy them with clinicians,” he said.In late October, Stanford is expected to host a “red teaming” event to bring together physicians, data scientists and engineers, including representatives from Google and Microsoft, to find flaws and potential biases in large language models used to complete health care tasks.“Why not make these tools as stellar and exemplar as possible?” asked co-lead author Dr. Jenna Lester, associate professor in clinical dermatology and director of the Skin of Color Program at the University of California, San Francisco. “We shouldn’t be willing to accept any amount of bias in these machines that we are building.” ___O'Brien reported from Providence, Rhode Island.。                   (文稿为机器转录,如有出入,请以音频为准)          每天10分钟拆解新闻背后的逻辑。大家好,今天是2025年的11月16号星期日,我是董小姐。

二 |                    1、 国外"逼宫行情",国内经济数据承压,波动加大压制科技赛道          当前市场的波动性仍在加剧,可能对较为敏感的科技板块构成威胁,这一情况还将持续,无论国内还是国外。                   我们先看国外市场:美国股市在上周五晚似乎让科技板块逃过一劫,但实际上也经历了惊魂一夜,至今难言安全。稍作回顾:上周五,科技板块在美股市场一开盘便大幅跳水,共振效应也蔓延至其他稳健资产——黄金下跌,再次考验4,000美元/盎司关口,数字货币上周同样重挫,比特币跌破10万美元大关,周末仍未企稳。由此,市场开始怀疑美国股票市场乃至整体资本市场是否已出现流动性问题,才导致各类资产同步下调:无论是风险最高的科技板块,还是数字货币,抑或黄金,均出现回落,这一疑虑被进一步放大。                   若流动性真出问题,通常伴随短期剧烈调整,那么当前是否“山雨欲来风满楼”?个人观察多项数据,认为迄今尚不能将其定义为流动性危机,更像是什么呢?更像是在12月10日美联储新一轮降息决议落地前,市场上演的一出“逼宫”戏码——每逢美联储欲坚持独立性、有意放慢降息节奏或宽松步伐,市场便以大跌“示威”。                   当前已是11月中下旬,距离美联储下一次降息决策的关键时间窗口越来越近;市场再度“跌给他看”,并引发剧烈波动。

三 | 预计进入12月后,美联储在“逼宫”效应与压力下若顺利降息,市场有望再次获得喘息机会。

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