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【品种策略】热卷：08月26日多家期货公司晨报观点汇总_我的网站

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一 | (ECNS) -- Hot days worldwide could experience around four additional hours of extreme heat by the end of the 21st century under a high-emissions scenario, according to a study led by Chinese researchers. Published in Nature Climate Change, the study found that traditional daily temperature indicators may overlook shorter periods of extreme heat, while hourly temperature analysis can provide a more detailed picture of heat exposure and associated risks. Researchers from Sun Yat-sen University and other institutions analyzed global hourly temperature data from 1981 to 2023, combining observational records with climate model projections to assess how extreme heat exposure could change in the future. The research team found that the duration of extreme heat increased by 62 hours per decade over the study period. Around 28% of extreme heat events occurred on days that would not have been classified as hot days based on conventional daily temperature indicators. Under a high-emissions scenario known as SSP5-8.5, the researchers projected that between 2070 and 2099, each hot day could experience around four additional hours of extreme heat compared with the 2001-2023 period. Days not classified as hot could also see increased periods of extreme heat. The study also found that low- and middle-income countries account for a disproportionately large share of both current and projected extreme heat exposure. Younger generations in low-income countries are expected to experience the greatest increase in lifetime exposure. Researchers said the findings could help improve heat-warning systems, strengthen assessments of health risks and support climate adaptation efforts. (By Helen Mo, intern Liu Shuangjing) 。热卷机构观点汇总期货公司方向核心逻辑南华期货震荡热卷供给小幅收缩、库存微降，但表需明显回落，需求改善未兑现；成本端挺价与钢厂亏损减产形成双向约束，价格上下空间均受限银河期货震荡热卷减产力度较大但需求仍下滑，钢材库存去化及焦煤焦炭成本支撑，价格维持震荡。国都期货震荡热卷供应收缩、产量回落及厂库微降，但需求同步走弱，供需两弱，短期以震荡偏强看待，轻仓试多正信期货研究院震荡供应收缩、库存持续去化及焦炭提涨形成成本支撑，但终端需求处淡季且...。